The Peculiar, Unwritten Rules of the International Nuclear Bomb Game

All governments have secrets, mostly nefarious and usually secret to protect politicians from their own misdeeds. Or rather, to prevent citizens’ finding out about those misdeeds (in my opinion). The entire subject of nuclear weapons seems even more secret than that. Why? Hiding how to make them, one can understand though much of it is available on the internet these days. But nuclear policy and its rationale seem to me, public business but they clearly aren’t seen that way by our rulers. That suggests, either they’re knaves, treating us like children, or both. I vote both.

First, it isn’t just the U.S. and the Soviets now, we have North Korea, Pakistan, India, China, France, Great Britain and I suppose, Israel. That’s the club; nobody gets excited. But as soon as Iran honestly announces it’s going to join, all Hell breaks loose; North America and Europe declare economic war and wreak increasing destruction on the Iranians. Sanctions Hurting Iran will explain. Something here seems peculiar.

If you say Iran is a villain and shouldn’t have nukes, ok but first, how do you explain North Korea and Pakistan then? And we’re even allied (sort of) with Pakistan! But no, we’re fine with them as nuke clubbers. Likely because they’re already there, right? Unlike honest Iran, they sneaked in quietly with a fait accompli.

Getting real for a moment, lots of places can have nukes now if and when they wish, the secrets are out. And if they weren’t, experts can be hired. Equipment and materials are available. At some point, a lot more countries will be flaunting nukes, because they can. Maybe even private actors, eventually. Murphy rules here as everywhere else. So all the fuss is temporizing, delaying the inevitable. Which hasn’t been delayed at all in North Korea and Pakistan. Or the rest of the club; who knows how each of those places will be run as the economic collapse proceeds?

Yet bellicose voices want to bomb Iran. President Obama could use a nice little war to distract from his many recalcitrant problems but seems less than anxious to proceed, so far at least. Israel, with the best excuse in the world in Iran’s mouthy Ahmadinejad, has so far refrained too. Both the U.S. and Israel seem to have cheerfully sabotaged the Iranian program as best they could and left it to that and the sanctions. Iran proceeds, regardless. So, for all we know, do Argentina, Switzerland and Bangladesh. If they’re wise, so do Japan, Taiwan and South Korea since the U.S. umbrella is clearly no longer able to shield them indefinitely from China, which might find its own nice little wars more attractive shortly.

Iran is a local bully in the Middle East and has been since Old Testamentary times but there’s no sign its present rulers are self-destructive. Their duplicitous claim to pursuing only peaceful uses of the atom is silly on its face but dropping bombs on Israel wouldn’t be cheap and they know that. More to the point, what would be gained to justify such a risk? The Arabs hate the Iranians; they would hate them more after that because fear would join the hate and soon you’d see Saudi Arabia waving its nukes too. Say Iran is in fact, bombed. The advent of its nukes would be held off a little while but, with increased determination behind it and a more unified people, it wouldn’t be stopped. Would two years’ delay and a more determined enemy be a worthy payoff?

In the end, any country that wants nukes can attain them these days and it’s becoming easier every year. Pandora’s box is well and truly opened. We are going to live with that with or without consent and American power will continue to shrink. We will do better recognizing and adapting to reality than going on in fantasy. And that must start with honest and open discussion among an informed citizenry; no good can come of vastly excessive secrecy, denial and obfuscation.

About Jack Curtis

Suspicious of government, doubtful of economics, fond of figure skating (but the off-ice part, not so much) Couple of degrees in government, a few medals in figure skating; just reading and suspicion for economics ...
This entry was posted in Foriegn Policy, Homeland Security, Iran, Middle East, Nuclear Politics, War and tagged , , . Bookmark the permalink.

3 Responses to The Peculiar, Unwritten Rules of the International Nuclear Bomb Game

  1. the unit says:

    Common knowledge of nuclear knowledge is like carnal knowledge of days gone by. Gonna get smoked even with abstinence.

    This about previous article. Losing wars. Got me thinking. Not about reason, but about influences on me after WWll. Thought about favorite comic back then. Searched web, and still couldn’t find it. Now two or three day later, snap in nerve fiber, there it was! Blackhawk Squadron. There were good ones later about fighting evil in Korea as well. Maybe when this present thing is over…we can see such glorious records of valor again, not for 10cents (what? no cent mark on keyboard, what is this world coming to? )

    • jackcurtis says:

      Western civilization seems to be casting off its foundational Christianity and is splitting into incompatible groupings just as the failing economy begins to threaten civil order on what appears likely to be a growing scale. Similar events show in the rest of the world as well. Back when classical Greco-Rome collapsed, one could see Christianity as a potential lifeboat, as it proved to be. But I can’t see what lies ahead this time…civilization requires some centralizing belief system, I think and none is obvious to me. But the collapse seems clear enough! Sometimes, adversity renews faith and strength; maybe that will happen. But that doesn’t seem the way to bet!

      • the unit says:

        Yes. Government thought it would be that belief system. With billions believing in Islam, world government thinks it can control by democracy and new dictators of Islamic leaders faith in that ideology. Benghazi attack commander has said otherwise today according to NYT. My bet…war of the worlds.

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